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BTC ETF Decision week
Approval or Rejection?
A message to the Scoop readership
Welcome Scoop Family, You have probably noticed we have missed a few recent editions. But fear not, it is all for a good cause.
Our mission with Triple Scoop has always been to bring you the most value possible, twice a week. Keeping you updated with the latest & best trends, news & alpha. As a newsletter, we previously covered NFTs, Web3, and crypto, but with such a wide spread of coverage across multiple sectors, we felt the information over the last few months has lacked maximum value & actionable insights.
Despite starting as an NFT newsletter 2 years ago, our main experience lies within the crypto sphere, totaling 15 years of experience across the team, our experience in bear markets, bull markets, navigation of trends & Gem indentification is extensive. With that in mind, we have decided to make a strategic approach to deliver a crypto-centered newsletter moving forward, allowing us to consistently deliver to you actionable insights, alpha & value which will guide you to success throughout the biggest bull market of our lives that lies ahead of us.
We fully appreciate that a lot of you are still huge fans of NFTs, and we are too. but, this move to crypto will allow us to craft an improved, customer-focused, & concise newsletter. We welcome you to join us in our journey to delivering simply the best & only newsletter you need in crypto.
Welcome to the New âTriple Scoopâ Without further ado, LFG.
SCOOPâS TL;DR
đ MARKET SENTIMENT
Anticipation surrounds Bitcoin ETF approvals, driving BTC to a new high of $47K and increasing dominance to almost 57%.
Ethereum lags amid excitement over Layer 1's and Layer 2 tokens but is expected to rebound soon.
đĽ THE TRENDING NARRATIVE
BTC ETF Approval & Layers 1, & Modular Blockchains take centre stage.
đď¸ BARBELLâS WEEKLY PICK
$ROSE - OASIS NETWORK
đď¸ TOP STORIES
Bets placed for the ETF
CNBCâs ETF prediction made.
Spot ETF fee wars
đ WEEKLY WINNER
Crypto Hacks Decline
đĄ REKT SECTION
Gary Gensler
đ PREMIUM SCOOP
đ MARKET SENTIMENT
Crypto Total Market Cap $1.72T - 24/hour change +5.34%
Total Crypto Market Volume $81.2B - 24/hour change +36.95%
Majors - 24/Hour change
BTC - $46,500 +6.3%
ETH - $2292 +3.5%
Trending 24-hour Gainers
One word dominates the space this week âETFâ. Spending just 5 minutes on Twitter this week, you will have noticed it.
Yep, multiple BTC âExchange Traded Fundsâ are expected to be approved by Wednesday 10th (Tomorrow), opening up regulated access to Bitcoin for millions.
Bitcoin is reacting positively hitting a new all-time high for this cycle of $47K, ALTS are now starting to trace up too, following last weekâs 20% market retrace.
Bitcoin dominance (% of Bitcoin market cap compared to rest of market) is rallying up, closing in on 57%, meaning more cash is flowing into the King.
We could see BTC dominance hit 60%, ALTS will lag with some outliers keeping up.
But following rallies in BTC dominance, we should see liquidity flow down into the ALT coins, with some explosive move.
The question lies will whether the BTC ETF approval (If we get it), will be a buy rumour sell the-news event? It is a tough one, possibly in the short term, but honestly, we donât care. Long term this is extremely bullish for the BTC and crypto as a whole, but we are holding off making any new purchases until either approval, rejection, or extension.
Better to know where the land lies, despite an overwhelming public bias leaning towards approval.
Our guess is not a question of if, but when. The most powerful company in the world âBlackRockâ normally gets what it wants.
Ethereum has been lagging during this momentum, possibly due to BTC dominance rise & ETF excitement, but also shiny new Layer 1âs & Layer2 tokens offering more attractive gains. If people missed ETH over the years, they want the next best thing. No doubt that ETH will awaken soon.
Strong Crypto narratives to focus on this year
- AI Infrastructure / Autonomous agents
- Parallelization EVM
- Modular Blockchains
- Solana Killers
- GameFI
- Social-Fi / Gambefi
- RWA - Real-World Asset tokens
- New Layer 1âs
- Privacy
đ SMART MONEY âON CHAINâ IS BULLISH ON:
đĽ THE TRENDING NARRATIVE
Crypto is a narrative & trend-driven game, where attention goes, the money flows. So whatâs hot?
The overarching narrative right now is the anticipation for the BTC ETF approval which is the main driver in market participation & speculation, especially for Bitcoin. Exciting stuff, but likely something we are all bored of hearing. Let's get it over with alreadyâŚ
Outside of that, Layer1âs, 2âs, Parrellization EVM, and modular blockchains are certainly seeing increased interest, just look at the rise of $SEI & $INJ for example. We expect to see this trend continue in the coming months, allowing developers a fully customized experience when building on a blockchain, where they can tailor-pick exactly what they need for the best use case, which was not previously possible with monolithic chains. Parallelization EVM as a narrative we also expect to do well, imagine if devs that can build on ETH, can suddenly now use their skills and build on top of Solana using the same language. That is exactly what parallelization EVM projects allow for.
A project that sits in this building narrative is interesting is $NEON, claiming to offer the worldâs first parallelized EVM for ETH-SOLANA. However do note that around 90% of its token supply is yet to unlock, however, their next unlock wonât take place till July 2024 which still gives plenty of time for da PAMP to play out before any further dilution.
đď¸ BARBELLâS WEEKLY PICK
In each issue, our Founder âJack Barbellâ delivers a hot rising star crypto asset that is yet to explode.
Follow Jack Barbell on X - @thebarbell_
Following on from the trending narrative, we believe the OASIS network & its token $ROSE has a strong chance to run within the coming months & year. Oasis network spreads across 3 decent narratives, which are Privacy, Layer1, and modularity. What makes Oasis unique is that it can add privacy layers to any EVM-compatible chains like ETH, BNB & Polygon, making its tech ripe for adoption by blockchains with already millions of users.
Big institutions are interested too, Grayscaleâs Privacy ETF, plans to invest in projects developing blocking basic privacy solutions, with a focus on digital assets designed for private & secure transactions, masking user identities. $ROSE is already an asset under consideration.
Outside of institutional interest, we are also witnessing whales accumulate $ROSE tokens at pace, totaling over 464M tokens in recent months, with one whale, in particular, scooping up $30M worth of $ROSE, pretty booolish.
At around $800M mcap & 70% of tokens in circulation (reducing the risk of mass dilution) $ROSE offers itself as a sizeable Altcoin with Influencer backing & investment from giants like a16z and Pantera capital.
Whilst $ROSE may not be as sexy as something like gaming or AI, we believe it has the potential to serve as the structural backbone of Web3 privacy in the coming year.
đ TOP STORIES
At a glance đ
Shorts have piled in ahead of the anticipated ETF, and a âsell the newsâ event is anticipated by the majority of speculators which left liquidations on shorts around $44,500 to $45,200 range, looks like they have been stung badly since bitcoin is trading higher.
A wide survey has 39% thinking a pump will follow and 61% thinking dump.
Standard Chartered estimates $50bn - $100bn will flow into Bitcoin and the price could reach $200k by 2025.
đľď¸ Scoops take:
Will Bitcoin go up? will it go down? whatever happens, the long term is looking juicy!
We have all witnessed âsell the newsâ so many times and with liquidations at a volatile level, we are expecting fluctuations of epic proportions.
Given the widespread positive long-term projections, there may not be a bad time to invest if it is a long-term holdâŚif you want to operate in the short term, may the investment gods be with you.
It is never wise to try to compare Bitcoin to anything, however, when the Gold ETF was approved, the price went on an upward trajectory for years to come.
Nothing is stopping Bitcoin in the long haul, strap in.
At a glance đ
CNBC is of the view that the ETFs are to be approved this Wednesday.
Trading could begin as early as Thursday.
Two unnamed sources confirmed the date of the 10th of January to Kate Rooney.
đľď¸ Scoops take:
It is all systems go, load up, and lock in.
For once, we donât need to put too much weight into who the sources are that CNBC refers to, this has too much traction.
When it comes to âbuy the rumourâ or âsell the newsâ CNBC hasnât gone as far as nailing its colors to the mast, but by sharing this piece, it shows the massive leap Bitcoin has taken by entering the âtraditionalâ financial markets.
The massive boost is that the biggest outlets are now sharing this one-time dream is becoming a reality.
Wider acceptance is on the horizon, donât spend too long looking as it will be here before you know it.
JUST IN: Spot #Bitcoin ETFs expected to be approved Wednesday and could begin trading this week, CNBC reports.
â Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru)
6:02 PM ⢠Jan 8, 2024
At a glance đ
This is constantly changing and is accurate at the time of writing.
The fight for customers is well underway.
The heavy hitters are constantly slashing their proposed Bitcoin ETF fees to undercut the competition.
It's an amazing start to the week for investors who can look forward to meager administration costs.
đľď¸ Scoops take:
With fees reaching virtually bargain basement levels, this tells us that there are some massive expectations around Assets under management (AUM).
Given the severity of the competition there is no outstanding candidate that we recommend you invest with, but of course, DYOR and go with whatever makes you feel comfortable.
The position is constantly changing but the war has seen some major shifts already with Blackrock lowering their fee to 0.2% and ARK going down from 0.8% to 0.25%.
Current fees are as follows:
Bitwise 0.24%
Ark Invest 0.25%
Invesco 0.59%
Black Rock 0.2%
VanEck 0.25%
Franklin 0.29%
Fidelity 0.39%
WisdomTree 0.5%
Valkyrie 0.8%
Hashdex 0.9%
Greyscale 1.5%
THE ABOVE IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE
đĄ THE REKT SECTION đĄ
Gary Gensler
He needs no introduction to this newsletter, but if you have been living under a rock he is Chairman of the SEC.
He has dragged the Crypto world through the mud, but as things start to look rosy for Crypto, here is a last-ditch attempt at soft-fudding crypto assets.
Eagle-eyed readers will notice he has stopped calling Cryptocurrencies âsecuritiesâ but now refers to them as assets. Is he starting to change his sentiment by recognizing them?
Perhaps too late, the horse has bolted.
He shared the below thread on his X page.
Quite ironic he goes from the number 1 hater to a Crypto threadoor.
A thread đ§ľ
Some things to keep in mind if you're considering investing in crypto assets:
â Gary Gensler (@GaryGensler)
3:40 PM ⢠Jan 8, 2024
đ WEEKLY WINNER đ
Hacks Decline
A major concern for those new and those that have been here forever and everyone in between was the safety of the crypto space.
Mainstream media would have you thinking we were all high-end criminals funnelling cash on the dark web paying for things that are too terrible to type.
It is no secret that Crypto has been used for illegal activities, but for us to be brushed under the same carpet was never it.
To the delight of everyone, this whole system is getting that bit safer.
CertiK co-founder stated that 2023 was a positive development in Blockchain security with hack losses declining 51% across the year.
Losses were still huge over the year which came in at $1.8bn however in 2022 this number was $3.7bn.
A step in the right direction, long may it continue.
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